Contagiousness

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This page collects observations, interpretations, and consequences for action about Contagiousness of SARS-CoV2. Please observe the structure of the page, when you add your content. Please use references where possible. Remember to find the relevant page. For example, if your observation is about Sources, please use that page, instead of posting your content here.

What is already known

  • The earliest most probable SARS-like serial interval scenarios resulted in an estimated R0 of 2 - 2.7 (90% CrI) [1]
  • The R0 was estimated as 2.2,8 3.8,11 and 2.6812 by different research all round the world. The WHO published an estimated R0 of 1.4 to 2.5. [2]

Topic 1

Observations

Analysis and interpretation

Consequences for action

References

  1. Abbott, Sam, et al. "The transmissibility of novel Coronavirus in the early stages of the 2019-20 outbreak in Wuhan: Exploring initial point-source exposure sizes and durations using scenario analysis." Wellcome Open Research 5.17 (2020): 17.
  2. Fang, Yaqing, Yiting Nie, and Marshare Penny. "Transmission dynamics of the COVID‐19 outbreak and effectiveness of government interventions: A data‐driven analysis." Journal of Medical Virology (2020).