Contagiousness - Revision history

Bosmana: /* Topic viral shedding */

2020-03-29T19:52:46Z

‎Topic viral shedding

Bosmana: /* Topic viral shedding */

2020-03-29T19:46:46Z

‎Topic viral shedding

Bosmana: /* Observations */

2020-03-27T07:02:13Z

‎Observations

Bosmana: /* Topic 1 */

2020-03-27T07:01:03Z

‎Topic 1

Bosmana: /* What is already known */

2020-03-18T11:15:35Z

‎What is already known

Arnold at 10:50, 16 March 2020

2020-03-16T10:50:46Z

Bosmana: Created page with "This page collects observations, interpretations, and consequences action about the epidemiology of SARS-CoV2 in general. Please observe the structure of the page, when you ad..."

2020-03-16T08:36:09Z

Created page with "This page collects observations, interpretations, and consequences action about the epidemiology of SARS-CoV2 in general. Please observe the structure of the page, when you ad..."

New page

This page collects observations, interpretations, and consequences action about the epidemiology of SARS-CoV2 in general. Please observe the structure of the page, when you add your content. Please use references where possible. Remember to find the relevant page. For example, if your observation is about [[transmission routes]], please use that page, instead of posting your content here.

=Topic 1=

==Obeservations==

==Analysis and interpretation==

==Consequences for action==

=References=

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 =Topic viral shedding=
-[[File:Covid Contagiousness.jpg|600px]]
+[[File:Covid Contagiousness.jpg|1100px]]
 The above infographic was created by ANONYMOUS, based on the following data:
 * The median incubation period of 2019-nCoV is found to be 5.2 days (95% CI: 4.4, 6.0), and 97.5% of those who develop symptoms will do so within 10.5 days (95% CI: 7.3, 15.3) of infection. It is estimated that a very small proportion (64 out of every 10,000 cases) will develop symptoms after 14 days of active monitoring or quarantine. <Ref>Lauer, S. A., Grantz, K. H., Bi, Q., Jones, F. K., Zheng, Q., Meredith, H., ... & Lessler, J. (2020). The incubation period of 2019-nCoV from publicly reported confirmed cases: estimation and application. medRxiv.</ref>

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 =Topic viral shedding=
 ==Observations==
 * A study among COVID19 survivors in China showed that 5 out of 147 started to test positive again for SARS-CoV2 after having fully recovered and after having tested negative repeatedly.<ref>China reports deeply disturbing coronavirus development
 Digital Staff 7NEWS Friday, 27 March 2020 6:45 am https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/healthmedicine/china-reports-deeply-disturbing-coronavirus-development-c-765460.amp?utm_campaign=share-icons&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&tid=1585264794990&__twitter_impression=true</ref>
 ==Analysis and

@@ Line 7: / Line 7: @@
 =Topic viral shedding=
 ==Observations==
-* A study among COVID19 survivors in China showed that 5 out of 147 started to test positive again for SARS-CoV2 after having fully recovered and after having tested negative repeatedly.<ref>interpretation==https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/healthmedicine/china-reports-deeply-disturbing-coronavirus-development-c-765460.amp?utm_campaign=share-icons&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&tid=1585264794990&__twitter_impression=true</ref>
+* A study among COVID19 survivors in China showed that 5 out of 147 started to test positive again for SARS-CoV2 after having fully recovered and after having tested negative repeatedly.<ref>China reports deeply disturbing coronavirus development
 ==Analysis and

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 * The R<sub>0</sub> was estimated as 2.2,8 3.8,11 and 2.6812 by different research all round the world. The WHO published an estimated R<sub>0</sub> of 1.4 to 2.5. <Ref name="Fang2020-mv">Fang, Yaqing, Yiting Nie, and Marshare Penny. "Transmission dynamics of the COVID‐19 outbreak and effectiveness of government interventions: A data‐driven analysis." Journal of Medical Virology (2020).</ref>
-=Topic 1=
+=Topic viral shedding=
 ==Observations==
-==Analysis and interpretation==
+* A study among COVID19 survivors in China showed that 5 out of 147 started to test positive again for SARS-CoV2 after having fully recovered and after having tested negative repeatedly.<ref>interpretation==https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/healthmedicine/china-reports-deeply-disturbing-coronavirus-development-c-765460.amp?utm_campaign=share-icons&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&tid=1585264794990&__twitter_impression=true</ref>
 ==Consequences for action==
+* More studies are needed to understand viral shedding after recovery, before we consider consequences to this observation
 =References=

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:15, 18 March 2020
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	=What is already known=		=What is already known=
		+	* The earliest most probable SARS-like serial interval scenarios resulted in an estimated R<sub>0</sub> of 2 - 2.7 (90% CrI) <Ref name="Abbott2020">Abbott, Sam, et al. "The transmissibility of novel Coronavirus in the early stages of the 2019-20 outbreak in Wuhan: Exploring initial point-source exposure sizes and durations using scenario analysis." Wellcome Open Research 5.17 (2020): 17.</ref>
		+	* The R<sub>0</sub> was estimated as 2.2,8 3.8,11 and 2.6812 by different research all round the world. The WHO published an estimated R<sub>0</sub> of 1.4 to 2.5. <Ref name="Fang2020-mv">Fang, Yaqing, Yiting Nie, and Marshare Penny. "Transmission dynamics of the COVID‐19 outbreak and effectiveness of government interventions: A data‐driven analysis." Journal of Medical Virology (2020).</ref>

	=Topic 1=		=Topic 1=